Prediction Markets: The Good, the Bad, and What the Data Actually Shows

A data-first look at one of the fastest-growing new financial instruments.

Prediction markets have crossed $15B in monthly notional volume. But what does the data actually show about how they work and how they're being gamed? This session walks through what real-time onchain data reveals about prediction markets: how they function as early-warning signals for macro events, where liquidity is actually concentrated, and how to detect unusual activity patterns that may indicate information asymmetry or market manipulation.